China’s Hydropower Ambitions Heighten India Border Tensions

In a move that could further strain relations between China and India, a colossal US$137 billion hydropower project is set to emerge as a new point of contention. This ambitious development is planned for a river that has been a vital source of water for millions in the region, threatening to deepen the ongoing border tensions between the two countries. Experts like Srikanth Kondapalli, a professor of China studies, emphasize that these border issues are the primary hurdles in improving bilateral ties.

The planned hydropower project on the Yarlung Tsangpo River is poised to be the largest undertaking of its kind. This river, historically a lifeline for countless people living downstream, now faces the risk of becoming a battleground in the geopolitical rivalry between China and India. The significant economic investment required for the project underscores its scale and potential impact on the region's stability.

“No progress on de-escalation in the border areas means no improvement in bilateral relations,” – Srikanth Kondapalli

As the border areas between China and India remain tense with no signs of de-escalation, the hydropower project poses additional challenges. The river's waters, critical for millions, are at risk of being embroiled in this conflict, thereby affecting other facets of the two nations' ties. Shibani Mehta, a senior research analyst, stresses that managing this issue is crucial for maintaining regional peace.

“The real challenge for New Delhi and Beijing lies in preventing this issue from becoming another flashpoint in the relationship,” – Shibani Mehta

The project's development not only represents a substantial infrastructure endeavor but also a potential flashpoint for further conflict in an already tense relationship. The stakes are high as both countries must navigate these waters cautiously to avoid exacerbating their rivalry. The absence of progress in resolving border disputes continues to cast a long shadow over any potential improvements in their bilateral relations.

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