US Urged to Support Philippines’ Leadership in South China Sea Disputes

A recent report by the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft suggests a shift in the United States' strategy concerning the South China Sea. The American think tank recommends that the US enable the Philippines to take a leading role in countering China's actions in the region, rather than adopting a direct military confrontation with Beijing. The report emphasizes the importance of reducing tensions and promoting stability through diplomatic efforts.

The document, authored by Sarang Shidore, director of the Global South Programme at the Quincy Institute, warns against the risks of a direct naval clash between the US and China. Such a conflict could quickly escalate and have severe consequences. Shidore points out that pulling in extra-regional US allies into military disputes in the South China Sea may increase Chinese perceptions of encirclement and heighten tensions unnecessarily.

"This risks a direct US-China naval clash that can easily spiral out of control," – Sarang Shidore.

The report further highlights China's volatile and coercive behavior in the South China Sea, which remains a significant concern. However, it also acknowledges that the Philippines is exercising increased autonomy in the region. The report suggests that the Philippines has a crucial role to play, and the US should support its efforts to bolster lawful claims rather than relying solely on military might.

To facilitate this shift, the report recommends that the United States provide armed escorts for the Philippines' resupply missions to Second Thomas Shoal, a feature of less strategic interest to the US. This approach would prioritize cooperation with the Philippines over confrontation with China, aiming for a more balanced strategy in addressing regional disputes.

"But it can initiate a virtuous cycle of de-escalatory steps, and reduce the risk to American, Philippine, and other lives." – Sarang Shidore.

The Quincy Institute's report suggests that diplomacy and cooperation should be at the forefront of US policy in the South China Sea. By enabling the Philippines to take a leadership role, the US could help create a more stable environment and reduce potential conflicts. This strategy seeks to address regional issues through collaboration rather than exacerbating tensions through military alliances.